Updated to add a picture and fix the spelling of Karamojong.
The morning of 6 September we left on the flak jacket journey. Actually, we donned both bulletproof vests and helmets about an hour or so outside of Moroto, so at least most of the journey was armor free. As a relatively short-waisted person with long legs, I spent much of the time in the car feeling like a turtle, since the bulletproof vest was longer than my torso. Between that and the helmet sliding down, I am sure I made quite a vision of metallic glory. Our driver estimated that each vest weighed about 30 kilos (approximately 66 pounds). I am not sure it was quite that heavy, but it wasn’t far from it.
The reason for the armor, and the armed escort vehicle, is the presence of cattle raiders in this region. The Karamojong consider themselves an independent kingdom, and thus feel they should not be considered part of Uganda. They raid cattle in the Acholi region of Uganda, in Kenya, and yet they also raid across groups of Karamojong. The raiders are very well armed, and they do get in firefights. Attacks on UN vehicles aren’t expected; the risk is getting caught in the crossfire. I must admit I felt quite silly sitting in the big UN vehicle, wearing a bulletproof vest and a helmet, while the locals strolled down the street. We did see one cattle herder with two soldiers escorting him, but the vast majority of the locals just went about their business. Apparently, this means that the soldiers helped this herder recover his raided cattle, as the soldiers escort the herder back to his village in that case.
Moroto is the major city in the northern sub-region of Karamoja. Karamoja itself is composed of several districts, of which we will be visiting at three – Moroto district, Kotido, and Abim. The drive from Kampala was about nine hours, including a 30-minute stop for lunch in Soroti, which also seems like a fairly good-sized town. I had an avocado salad for lunch. I had no idea how prevalent avocado was here. I think I’ve had more avocados since arriving in Uganda than I have the rest of the year. It’s helpful that they have to be peeled, making it a safe food substance.
We stayed at a compound called C&D, which is run by an Italian NGO. The good news is that this meant we got real coffee for breakfast, not Nescafe, which is an abomination if I must say so myself. We also ate very well for dinner, albeit with a bit more pasta than I am accustomed to. The ice cold showers due to the lack of hot water we’ll just not discuss anymore.
The area itself reminds me strongly of Santa Fe, New Mexico, with the city nestled in the mountains, the terrain, and in particular the light. Sunset and dusk are gorgeous times in this area. Apparently the local staff members at the UNICEF office here climb the mountain. We in fact had a closing celebration of “sundowners” about 7 minutes or so up the mountain to a nice plateau overlooking Moroto and the valley. We could barely see Kenya from there. The sunset was spectacular. I am hopeful some of the pictures turned out.
The drive up was made more interesting with the two sets of trucks that were stuck in the mud. Apparently, there’s been a lot of rain in this area recently. Indeed, the region is coming off of approximately four years of drought. We had the benefit of four-wheel drive, so we just went around the problem, fortunately. The road itself was quite rough; I’d estimate about 6 or more hours were over rutted roads.
We saw quite a large variety of livestock along the way, including donkey, goat, cattle, chickens, and even camel, although this was rare. This trip we will be focusing on youth centers more so than teacher colleges and schools. We also will try to see some NGOs that deal in the agricultural sector, since this region relies so heavily on cattle and the effects of the cattle raiding are so devastating to many aspects of life in Karamoja.
Other posts from this visit will include a discussion of the economics of cattle raiding, an exploration of life in a village, and why folks might care less about cholera and other diseases than we’d like them to. At least those are the topics I can think of at the moment. Thanks for all your comments.
Predictably Irrational
Roy went on a behavioral economics kick some time last year, and at that time I at least made it through Nudge and Sway, leaving Predictably Irrational and a more academic book on the subject on the pile and collecting dust. Well, I finished Predictably Irrationaltoday. The book does have a lot of interesting experiments providing insights that are sometimes amusing, often disturbing, and certainly worth examining for their ramifications. I was struck at times, though, by the somewhat naive solutions the author proposed as a way to deal with the world as it really is. I would tend to agree with his oft-repeated assertion that the model of the rational decision maker that is so central to traditional economic theory is inadequate to say the least. However, I am less convinced that he has a more realistic view on aggregate.
One example proposal of his illustrates my point here. He argues that, rather than dividing up the bill amongst all parties when a group dines together, the group should adopt the “one person pays and this rotates” strategy. While I can buy this for a very small group that often dines together and knows each other well, I think it breaks down pretty rapidly. Even his example of four payers to me seems too large to work effectively. While he acknowledges the risks of people moving away or the same people not coming or other problems with the idea, he still thinks it deserves more serious consideration. Perhaps he just isn’t the one who would normally feel compelled to pick up the check if no one made a move for it, even if I had paid the last time around.
I do also somewhat question how broadly one can reason from the conclusions of his experiments. While they are certainly well designed experiments, by their nature there is little opportunity for group behavior to emerge or for the effects of time to be taken into account. His group behavior is really more the sum of the individual behavior rather than there being much opportunity (with one exception) for individuals to influence the behavior of others in the group. To me, both of these characteristics play an important role in reasoning about behavior in economic systems. However, I think he makes several points about our tendency towards trust, fair play, dishonesty, procrastination and our unrealistic assessment of costs and benefits that more traditional economists should at least attempt to incorporate in their models.
Of course, one experiment that I thought had its original source in this book wasn’t there. Now I have to try and find it for someone somewhere else. Sigh.